I want to come back to this most interesting Brazil – Tyres case that Joel and Julia already referred to. Three things struck me:
1. Brazil essentially lost the case because it should have been MORE trade restrictive.
The Panel basically found (under the chapeau of Art. XX) that if Brazil is serious about the risks of waste tyres, it should not only ban imports of retreaded tyres but also imports of used tyres (if not: the ban on retreaded imports simply means that the retreading of EC used tyres shifts from EC factories to Brazilian factories ; the problem of the EC exporting its « waste » to Brazil, rather than Brazilian factories retreading Brazilian used tyres, then remains).
This makes a lot of sense. But it underscores how WTO dispute settlement can lead to less (rather than more) trade and, more importantly, how the Art. XX necessity and chapeau tests force WTO members to engage in sound environmental policies. In that sense, the WTO has truly become an environmental treaty with Art. XX as a catch-all obligation to engage in sound and reasonable environmental policies.
This case is, therefore, so much more than the WTO letting Brazil protect the environment. In this case (as, to a lesser extent, in Shrimp and others) the WTO is pointing out flaws not in trade policy, but in environmental policy (if you are serious about waste tyres, this is what you should be doing …).
Environmentalists may applaud this. But they may also get nervous about how WTO dispute settlement is becoming what is perhaps the most powerful worldwide environmental institution …
2. For «unjustifiable discrimination» under the chapeau of XX, the panel requires that the objective of the import ban be « significantly undermined » which, in turn, requires that sufficient quantities of MERCOSUR imports or used tyres are imported into Brazil (Julia's earlier point).
Simplified, the panel only finds discrimination « unjustifiable » if there is enough of it … I wonder whether the AB would uphold this «effects» test, or whether it would find that the very fact of banning retreaded tyres and permitting used tyres is sufficient to have «unjustifiable discrimination», irrespective of the number of used tyres coming in. The chapeau is, indeed, about the application of the measure (not the measure as such), but does that require an analysis of actual trade flows ?
3. The panel cleverly ducked the carve-out for MERCOSUR retreaded tyres. The panel only dealt with MERCOSUR under the chapeau of XX when it examined the violation of XI. But the EC’s core claim in this respect was that the carve-out violates MFN (for which the panel exercised judicial economy). And there Art. XX(b) can hardly offer an excuse. Brazil invoked XXIV instead. Now, if one follows the AB test in Turkey – Textiles for XXIV justification, then surely the carve-out for MERCOSUR retreaded tyres is not « necessary » for MERCOSUR to conform to Art. XXIV. XXIV:8(a)(i) explicitly permits health restrictions between regional partners. Thus, Brazil could have expanded the ban to MERCOSUR imports AND still comply with XXIV. But, in my view, this shows not so much that Brazil should lose under XXIV, but rather that the AB « necessity » test under XXIV goes too far and is wrong…
Once Brazil bans also imports of used tyres, the EC could well bring a 21.5 case further pursuing this MFN claim … Indeed, if both retreaded and used tyres from the EC are banned, there is a good chance that EC exporters will export used tyres to, say, Uruguay for those used tyres to be retreaded there and then to be allowed into Brazil as MERCOSUR tyres. This could drive up the numbers of MEROSUR imports and even take away the Art. XX justification for the MERCOSUR carve-out.
Finally, who is the likely winner in this case ?
*The EC tyre industry is worse off : the ban on retreaded tyres stays and on top of that the panel asks for a ban on imports of used tyres.
*The Brazilian "retreading" industry sees the ban on retreaded imports maintained (good for them), but a ban on imports of used tyres means that they will have to source more expensive Brazilian used tyres rather than the cheaper imports (bad for them).
*Thus, I would invest my money in: the Brazilian "new tyre" industry : no competition from retreaded imports remains ; plus domestic competition from retreaded Brazilian tyres is reduced as such retreaded Brazilian tyres become more expensive thanks to the ban on imports of used tyres called for by the panel.
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